Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shrewsbury Town in this match.