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League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
ST

Port Vale
1 - 2
Shrewsbury

Dipepa (69')
Jones (87'), Ripley (90+4'), Sang (90+2'), (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Udoh (6'), Bloxham (53')
Perry (59'), Winchester (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 3-0 Port Vale
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Blackpool
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 2-2 Shrewsbury Town

Both teams will be desperate to secure maximum points to help their respective survival bids, but with the two sides finding wins hard to come by, we think that Saturday's contest could result in the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawShrewsbury Town
45.39% (1.3 1.3) 26.48% (0.163 0.16) 28.13% (-1.46 -1.46)
Both teams to score 49.89% (-1.349 -1.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.54% (-1.33 -1.33)54.46% (1.333 1.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.17% (-1.118 -1.12)75.83% (1.122 1.12)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (0.046999999999997 0.05)23.92% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (0.065000000000005 0.07)58.14% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.57% (-1.81 -1.81)34.43% (1.814 1.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.86% (-1.979 -1.98)71.13% (1.982 1.98)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 45.38%
    Shrewsbury Town 28.13%
    Draw 26.48%
Port ValeDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.77% (0.61 0.61)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.42% (0.449 0.45)
3-1 @ 4.28% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.22 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 45.38%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.24% (0.419 0.42)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.216 -0.22)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 8.78% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.311 -0.31)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-0.224 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.237 -0.24)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.167 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.169 -0.17)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 28.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Derby 3-0 Port Vale
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Lincoln
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 2-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 3-2 Port Vale
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-2 Stevenage
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Blackpool
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 3-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 2-3 Shrewsbury
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Wigan
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Barnsley
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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