While Fleetwood Town have seen an upturn in form since the appointment of Charlie Adam, coming into this game on the back of three games without defeat, Stevenage's quality is far superior to the visitors', and we expect this to be shown in the final result.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.