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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw has a probability of 23.7% and a win for Stevenage has a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Stevenage win it is 0-1 (6.5%).
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Stevenage |
55.95% ( 0.42) | 23.68% ( -0.09) | 20.38% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 50.21% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.98% ( -0.03) | 50.02% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28% ( -0.03) | 72% ( 0.03) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.29% ( 0.15) | 17.71% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.63% ( 0.25) | 48.37% ( -0.25) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.03% ( -0.37) | 38.98% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.3% ( -0.34) | 75.7% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.51% Total : 55.94% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.67% | 0-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.43% Total : 20.38% |
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