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League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
ST

Stevenage
2 - 0
Shrewsbury

Presley (58'), Reid (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bayliss (45+5'), Winchester (74'), Kenneh (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Stevenage 1-0 Shrewsbury Town

Just like a season ago, the Boro have been creating surprises, and we believe they will be able to frustrate the Shrews on Saturday and find another way to win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 58.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawShrewsbury Town
58.94% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 23.67% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 17.4% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 45.35% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.08% (0.012 0.01)53.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.63% (0.010999999999999 0.01)75.37% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.95% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)18.05% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.04% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)48.96% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.34% (0.061999999999998 0.06)44.66% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.34% (0.048999999999999 0.05)80.66% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 58.93%
    Shrewsbury Town 17.4%
    Draw 23.66%
StevenageDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 13.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.74% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.89% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 58.93%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.84% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.66%
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.62% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 17.4%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Watford (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Stevenage
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Ipswich
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Stevenage
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Stevenage
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Shrewsbury
Wednesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: West Brom 3-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Lincoln 1-0 Shrewsbury
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in League One


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