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League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
PA

Shrewsbury
1 - 2
Plymouth

Phillips (53')
Shipley (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Edwards (68'), Wright (90+5')
Cosgrove (17'), Matete (80'), Ennis (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth have won three away games on the trot after two losses on the road, but they will not have it easy at a ground where Shrewsbury have claimed five wins from their last seven. A slender win for the leaders should see them claim 10 victories on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
29.24% (0.777 0.78) 25.27% (0.1 0.1) 45.48% (-0.877 -0.88)
Both teams to score 54.32% (0.184 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.97% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)49.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.89% (0.004999999999999 0)71.11% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25% (0.57299999999999 0.57)30.75% (-0.573 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (0.669 0.67)67.01% (-0.66799999999999 -0.67)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.44% (-0.387 -0.39)21.56% (0.388 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.36% (-0.599 -0.6)54.64% (0.599 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 29.24%
    Plymouth Argyle 45.48%
    Draw 25.27%
Shrewsbury TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 7.82% (0.121 0.12)
2-1 @ 7.07% (0.137 0.14)
2-0 @ 4.61% (0.142 0.14)
3-1 @ 2.78% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.049 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.81% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 29.24%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 10.17% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.8% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.71% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.99% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 45.48%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Shrewsbury
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Peterborough
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 6-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-1 Morecambe
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Plymouth
Saturday, April 15 at 12pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Lincoln
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 Plymouth
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 4-0 Plymouth
Sunday, April 2 at 3pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Accrington 0-2 Plymouth
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Forest Green
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One


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