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League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
S

Northampton
0 - 1
Stevenage


Odimayo (17'), Hoskins (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Piergianni (80')
Piergianni (4'), Evans (5'), Butler (88'), Burns (90+13')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Birmingham
Wednesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Ipswich
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Stevenage

The opening day is always a nervy fixture for teams because while they want to set the tone for the season, it is also important to try and avoid a heavy defeat. This can often lead to a cautious performance and considering both teams know each other well from League Two, a draw would not be a surprise. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.63%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.73%) and 1-2 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawStevenage
27.87% (-1.846 -1.85) 28.5% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 43.63% (1.895 1.9)
Both teams to score 44.13% (-0.777 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.27% (-0.521 -0.52)61.73% (0.518 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.46% (-0.385 -0.39)81.54% (0.384 0.38)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.41% (-1.772 -1.77)38.59% (1.77 1.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.66% (-1.728 -1.73)75.34% (1.726 1.73)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (0.785 0.78)28.14% (-0.788 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18% (0.985 0.98)63.82% (-0.986 -0.99)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 27.87%
    Stevenage 43.62%
    Draw 28.49%
Northampton TownDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-1 @ 6.24% (-0.352 -0.35)
2-0 @ 4.92% (-0.393 -0.39)
3-1 @ 1.98% (-0.215 -0.22)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.209 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 27.87%
1-1 @ 13.11% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 10.85% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.96% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.49%
0-1 @ 13.76% (0.55 0.55)
0-2 @ 8.73% (0.536 0.54)
1-2 @ 8.31% (0.125 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.69% (0.302 0.3)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.128 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.119 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 43.62%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Birmingham
Wednesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Leicester
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Tranmere 0-1 Northampton
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Bradford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 3-1 Harrogate
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-2 Northampton
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Ipswich
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Stevenage
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Stevenage
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Doncaster
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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