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League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
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Barrow
0 - 1
Stevenage


Farman (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Reeves (25')
Forster-Caskey (45+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hartlepool 3-1 Barrow
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 1-2 Stevenage

Stevenage will be looking to finish their promotion-winning campaign with a win, and after thrashing Barrow 5-0 in the reverse fixture, we think that they will have the belief to claim all three points on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.

Result
BarrowDrawStevenage
33.34% (-0.59 -0.59) 28.73% (0.103 0.1) 37.93% (0.488 0.49)
Both teams to score 45.47% (-0.373 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.98% (-0.419 -0.42)61.02% (0.42 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.99% (-0.314 -0.31)81.01% (0.316 0.32)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.95% (-0.62400000000001 -0.62)34.05% (0.628 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.27% (-0.678 -0.68)70.73% (0.67999999999999 0.68)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.94% (0.088999999999999 0.09)31.06% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.62% (0.10299999999999 0.1)67.38% (-0.101 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 33.34%
    Stevenage 37.92%
    Draw 28.72%
BarrowDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 11.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.14% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 33.34%
1-1 @ 13.32% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.57% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.72%
0-1 @ 12.36% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.23% (0.147 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.82% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 37.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hartlepool 3-1 Barrow
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Carlisle
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Barrow
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-0 Barrow
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 4-0 Crawley
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 3-0 Barrow
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Stevenage
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Doncaster
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Stevenage
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two


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