Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
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