Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 52.64%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Crawley Town |
52.64% ( 0.02) | 22.45% ( -0.01) | 24.92% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.22% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.42% ( 0.02) | 39.58% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.07% ( 0.02) | 61.93% ( -0.02) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.87% ( 0.01) | 15.13% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.3% ( 0.02) | 43.7% ( -0.02) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.96% ( 0) | 29.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.05% ( 0) | 64.96% |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-1 @ 9.69% 1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 3.94% Total : 52.64% | 1-1 @ 10.26% 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 24.92% |
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