Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 13.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
-0.57) 
0.18) 
