SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 13.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stockport County | Draw | Crawley Town |
67.7% ( -0.57) | 19.08% ( 0.18) | 13.22% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 49.79% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.21% ( 0.12) | 42.79% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.8% ( 0.12) | 65.19% ( -0.13) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.35% ( -0.12) | 11.65% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.3% ( -0.26) | 36.69% ( 0.25) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.35% ( 0.68) | 43.65% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.17% ( 0.56) | 79.83% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stockport County | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 2-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 6.98% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.58% Total : 67.69% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.9% Total : 19.08% | 0-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.35% Total : 13.22% |
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