Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
-0.12) 
0.06) 
