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League One | Gameweek 45
May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK
Home Park
S

Plymouth
1 - 3
Sunderland

Edwards (63')
Camara (42'), Law (49'), Opoku (54'), Edwards (76')
Opoku (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Stewart (21'), Maguire (84' pen.), Hume (90+2')
Coverage of the League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Sunderland.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 16.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-0 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawSunderland
16.52%20.6%62.88%
Both teams to score 52.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.23%42.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.83%65.17%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.91%39.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.19%75.81%
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.01%13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.49%39.51%
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 16.52%
    Sunderland 62.86%
    Draw 20.6%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 4.77%
2-1 @ 4.57%
2-0 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 1.46%
3-1 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 16.52%
1-1 @ 9.74%
0-0 @ 5.08%
2-2 @ 4.67%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.6%
0-2 @ 10.57%
0-1 @ 10.36%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-3 @ 7.2%
1-3 @ 6.76%
0-4 @ 3.67%
1-4 @ 3.45%
2-3 @ 3.17%
2-4 @ 1.62%
0-5 @ 1.5%
1-5 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 62.86%

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