Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
