Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.