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League One | Gameweek 39
Apr 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
OU

Sunderland
3 - 1
Oxford Utd

Gooch (45+2'), McGeady (81'), Power (90+4')
McLaughlin (19'), Stewart (89'), Power (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Henry (21')
Sykes (25'), Barker (25'), Henry (54'), Moore (81')
Sykes (61')
Coverage of the League One clash between Sunderland and Oxford United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 22.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawOxford United
51.29%26.23%22.49%
Both teams to score 45.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.57%57.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.76%78.24%
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.51%22.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.95%56.05%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.96%41.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.41%77.59%
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 51.28%
    Oxford United 22.49%
    Draw 26.22%
SunderlandDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 13.77%
2-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.15%
3-0 @ 5.11%
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 51.28%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 9.23%
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.22%
1-2 @ 5.46%
0-2 @ 3.66%
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.21%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 22.49%

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