We said: Arsenal 2-1 Sunderland
Changing the bulk of their side has not caused Arsenal's young squad any problems so far in the EFL Cup as they have progressed serenely with a second-string XI which still offers pace and guile.
While Sunderland are set to put up strong resistance, and are likely to score themselves, the weight of attacking talent available to Mikel Arteta should ensure that the Gunners march on to the semi-finals.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 20.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
