Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
