Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
