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League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
EC

Wrexham
3 - 0
Exeter

Cleworth (7'), Palmer (25'), Rathbone (72')
Rathbone (4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Watts (40'), Aitchison (51')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Wrexham
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, November 16 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Exeter City

Exeter may be enjoying a four-game unbeaten run in all competitions, but we think that impressive spell of form will be brought to an end when they go up against a Wrexham side that have won six of their seven home league games this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 53.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 22.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawExeter City
53.17% (-0.106 -0.11) 24.13% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 22.69% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 51.95% (0.154 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.71% (0.134 0.13)49.29% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.65% (0.121 0.12)71.34% (-0.122 -0.12)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)18.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.32% (0.015999999999998 0.02)49.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73% (0.182 0.18)36.26% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.95% (0.185 0.18)73.05% (-0.184 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 53.17%
    Exeter City 22.69%
    Draw 24.13%
WrexhamDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 11.31% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.69%
2-0 @ 9.55% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.38% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 53.17%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 6.8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 5.82% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.45% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 22.69%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Wrexham
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-1 Wrexham (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Mansfield
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Wrexham
Sunday, November 3 at 3.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Charlton 2-2 Wrexham
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 0-0 Huddersfield
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, November 16 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 5-3 Barnet
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-3 Exeter
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Huddersfield 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Reading
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One


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