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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
WL

Bolton
0 - 2
Wigan


Johnston (9'), Santos (14'), Thomason (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Taylor (18'), Aasgaard (67')
Smith (20'), Sessegnon (26'), Carragher (72'), Taylor (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 3-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Wigan
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Wigan Athletic

Bolton at home is usually a foregone conclusion from the first whistle, as Evatt's men have turned the Toughsheet Community Stadium into a fortress of late, even if they have struggled for clean sheets. As Wigan are out of sorts and looking a bit light up top, their stronghold over the Trotters should cease as Bolton beat the Latics in a competitive game for the first time since 2015. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawWigan Athletic
54.67% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 23.04% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 22.29% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.95% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.92% (0.033000000000001 0.03)45.08% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.58% (0.032000000000004 0.03)67.43% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62% (0.024000000000001 0.02)16.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.98% (0.039999999999999 0.04)46.02% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)34.29% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.99% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 54.67%
    Wigan Athletic 22.29%
    Draw 23.04%
Bolton WanderersDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.19% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 5.93% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 54.67%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.04%
0-1 @ 6.01% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 22.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bolton 3-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bolton 3-1 Mansfield
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Bolton
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Fleetwood
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stockport 5-0 Bolton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Wigan
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wigan 0-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, December 7 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Wigan
Tuesday, December 3 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Wigan 2-1 Northampton
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Wigan
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One


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