SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Peterborough United |
38.98% ( 0.12) | 23.99% ( -0.02) | 37.03% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 61.49% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.17% ( 0.08) | 40.83% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.78% ( 0.09) | 63.22% ( -0.08) |
| Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% ( 0.1) | 21.1% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.07% ( 0.14) | 53.93% ( -0.14) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( -0.01) | 22.07% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.59% ( -0.02) | 55.41% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 38.98% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 37.03% |
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