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EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Adams Park
AV

Wycombe
1 - 2
Aston Villa

Kone (90+5')
Bakinson (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Buendia (55'), Duran (85' pen.)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 2-1 Cambridge
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Wolves
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Wycombe Wanderers 1-3 Aston Villa

As Aston Villa have other priorities - and are likely to field an unfamiliar team - Wycombe could pose a threat to their Premier League opponents for a while, before succumbing to defeat by the final whistle. Villa's squad does not run too deep, but it contains some promising players, so they should eventually grind out a win and reach the third round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.

Result
Wycombe WanderersDrawAston Villa
33.36% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 24.45%42.2% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 59.08% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)66.05%
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6%25.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)60.2% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19% (0.0040000000000049 0)20.8% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)53.47%
Score Analysis
    Wycombe Wanderers 33.36%
    Aston Villa 42.2%
    Draw 24.44%
Wycombe WanderersDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 7.79%
1-0 @ 7.24%
2-0 @ 4.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.79%
3-0 @ 2.27%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 33.36%
1-1 @ 11.36%
2-2 @ 6.12%
0-0 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 8.93%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.51%
1-3 @ 4.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.2%
1-4 @ 1.83%
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 42.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wycombe 2-1 Cambridge
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 5-3 Brighton U21s
Tuesday, September 17 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Wycombe
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 2-2 Wycombe
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Wycombe
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Rotherham
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Wolves
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Young Boys 0-3 Aston Villa
Tuesday, September 17 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-2 Everton
Saturday, September 14 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-2 Arsenal
Saturday, August 24 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 17 at 5.30pm in Premier League


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