Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 49.22%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.06) 
