Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.02) 
