Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.01) 
