SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 43.51%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 27.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Colchester United |
43.51% ( -1.63) | 29.13% ( 0.48) | 27.36% ( 1.16) |
| Both teams to score 42.24% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.06% ( -0.95) | 63.94% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.86% ( -0.68) | 83.14% ( 0.68) |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% ( -1.34) | 29.28% ( 1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.75% ( -1.68) | 65.24% ( 1.67) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.74% ( 0.46) | 40.26% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.11% ( 0.42) | 76.89% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 14.47% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.36)2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.45% Total : 43.5% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.12% | 0-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.35% Total : 27.35% |
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