SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Bradford City |
32.68% ( 0.07) | 25.79% ( -0.02) | 41.52% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.22% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.11% ( 0.1) | 49.88% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.12% ( 0.09) | 71.87% ( -0.1) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% ( 0.09) | 28.83% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.3% ( 0.12) | 64.69% ( -0.13) |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.19% ( 0.02) | 23.8% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.02% ( 0.03) | 57.97% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Bradford City |
| 1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.68% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 41.52% |
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