Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.98%) and 1-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.