Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 16.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
