Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 60.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 17.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-0 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
