Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 63.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 14.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.56%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
