Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.76%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
