Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-0 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
