Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
