Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 17.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-2 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
0.16) 
-0.02) 
