SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Notts County |
50.49% ( -0.69) | 22.6% ( 0.18) | 26.9% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 61.69% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.47% ( -0.4) | 38.52% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.18% ( -0.42) | 60.82% ( 0.42) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.52% ( -0.38) | 15.48% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.64% ( -0.71) | 44.36% ( 0.71) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.99% ( 0.16) | 27.01% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.63% ( 0.21) | 62.36% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.86% Total : 50.49% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.6% | 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 26.9% |
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