SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Chesterfield |
26.98% ( 1.97) | 23.67% ( 0.47) | 49.34% ( -2.43) |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.56% ( -0.47) | 43.44% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.17% ( -0.46) | 65.83% ( 0.46) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.49% ( 1.27) | 29.51% ( -1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.47% ( 1.52) | 65.53% ( -1.52) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.27% ( -1.08) | 17.72% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.61% ( -1.9) | 48.39% ( 1.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.36) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.35)2-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.19)Other @ 3.27% Total : 26.98% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.41)1-3 @ 5.51% ( -0.29)0-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.41)2-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.22)0-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.25)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.73% Total : 49.34% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
