Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Chesterfield |
26.98% (![]() | 23.67% (![]() | 49.34% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.99% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.56% (![]() | 43.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.17% (![]() | 65.83% (![]() |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.49% (![]() | 29.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.47% (![]() | 65.53% (![]() |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.27% (![]() | 17.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.61% (![]() | 48.39% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-1 @ 6.74% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.38% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.58% ( ![]() Other @ 3.27% Total : 26.98% | 1-1 @ 11.04% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.23% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 9.56% (![]() 0-1 @ 9.05% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.83% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.51% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.46% ( ![]() Other @ 3.73% Total : 49.34% |
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