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League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham, Kent)
AS

Gillingham
1 - 2
Accrington

Little (49')
Little (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Woods (60'), Costelloe (90+4')
Love (66'), Walton (85'), Awe (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 2-0 Accrington Stanley

While Gillingham are heading into this game on the back of two successive losses, they should still be confident of securing a victory against an Accrington side that have won just once this term. With the Gills also boasting home advantage, where they have won four and lost one this season, we expect a straightforward win for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 22.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawAccrington Stanley
53.59% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 23.42% (0.0030000000000001 0) 22.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.02% (0.0040000000000049 0)45.98% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)68.28% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)17.09% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.71% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)47.28% (0.012 0.01)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.84% (0.016000000000005 0.02)34.16% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.15% (0.016000000000002 0.02)70.85% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 53.59%
    Accrington Stanley 22.98%
    Draw 23.41%
GillinghamDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 9.79%
2-0 @ 9.11% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.36% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 53.59%
1-1 @ 11.07%
0-0 @ 5.84%
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 5.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 22.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Crewe 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 2-0 Barrow
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-3 Palace U21s
Tuesday, September 24 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Notts County 0-1 Gillingham
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 3-0 Tranmere
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 2-1 Accrington
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-1 Accrington
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Port Vale
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-1 Crewe
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 2-0 Accrington
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two


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