Given their recent improvements, Colchester deserve respect ahead of this contest as they bid to surprise the leaders. However, it is only a matter of time before Rovers get back on track, and we feel that Edwards's side will do just enough to collect all three points on Monday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 53.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Forest Green Rovers.
