Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
