Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
