Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
