Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
-0.2) 
0.05) 
