Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
