Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
0.75) 
-0.85) 
