Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.08) 
