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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
HT

Crewe
1 - 0
Harrogate

Agius (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-0 Harrogate
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 2-1 Harrogate Town

Crewe are riding the crest of a wave at the moment, so the hosts should take care of business and book their place in the EFL Trophy's knockout phase. As Harrogate are more concerned with righting their League Two form, the low-scoring visitors are unlikely to improve their away record on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Crewe Alexandra.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawHarrogate Town
42.41% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 25.64% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 31.96% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.49% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.58% (0.021999999999998 0.02)49.42% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.54% (0.022000000000002 0.02)71.46% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83% (0.010000000000005 0.01)23.17% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.95% (0.015000000000001 0.02)57.05% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92% (0.01400000000001 0.01)29.07% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.01% (0.017000000000003 0.02)64.99% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 42.41%
    Harrogate Town 31.96%
    Draw 25.63%
Crewe AlexandraDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 9.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 7.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 42.41%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 8.32% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 7.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 31.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Crewe 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 3-0 Harrogate
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-1 Crewe
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Blackpool 4-1 Crewe
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Swindon 0-0 Harrogate
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-5 MK Dons
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 2-1 Bradford
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Liverpool U21s (0-0 pen.)
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Crewe 3-0 Harrogate
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 2-0 Doncaster
Thursday, September 12 at 8pm in League Two


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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