We said: Exeter City 2-1 Hartlepool United
Exeter enter this match in good spirits after consecutive 2-0 wins, and they should get on the scoresheet a couple of times on Saturday also given Hartlepool's poor away record.
The visitors could make it difficult for Exeter after a big boost in midweek, but the home side should have enough momentum to outscore their opposition this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
