Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.