Momentum may be on the side of Carlisle heading into this encounter, but Hartlepool have not played all that bad, and if not for a lack of quality in attack, they could be a lot higher up the standings.
Only two points separate these teams in the league at the moment, so we expect it to be a tight match with two sides capable of dictating the tempo of a game, and a draw seems like a real possibility.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 48.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
